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  1. Agribusiness

Brazil's beef price to the US peaked in June, then fell back

In June 2026 the price hit US$ 6.12 per kg, 2.8% above May's record. July and August fell back, and August closed at US$ 5.74 per kg, 6.3% below the peak.

By··3min
Editorial illustration on Brazilian foreign trade for the foreign trade chapter
Editorial illustration on Brazilian foreign trade for the foreign trade chapter

Summary

  • •June 2026 price: US$ 6.12 per kg, the series record
  • •Previous record: US$ 5.96 per kg in May; June beat it by 2.8%
  • •July fell to US$ 5.95 and August to US$ 5.74 per kg
  • •August volume (29.5k t) exceeded June volume (19.3k t)

The average price of frozen beef Brazil ships to the United States reached US$ 6.12 per kg in June 2026. That was the highest in the series for this product and this destination. The previous record, from May, stood at US$ 5.96. With data through August, the picture is complete: July and August pulled back, and June's record has not been beaten.

Key takeaway
June's record was a peak, not the start of a new level.

June's record in numbers

May 2026 closed at US$ 5.96 per kg, the best figure up to then. In June the price rose another 2.8% and passed US$ 6.12. The gap is 16 cents per kg: small day to day, yet significant in a series that had never been this high. It helps to recall what the figure measures, since it is easy to misread. It is a FOB value (the value of the goods at the port of shipment, before freight and insurance) divided by the weight shipped. It is not an exchange quote or a contract price. It is simply the realized monthly average, covering everything that went into the containers, from premium cuts to cheaper ones. Mix matters. A month with more high-value cuts lifts the average even if no packer charged more for the same cut.

What the following months showed

July brought the pullback: US$ 5.95 per kg, 2.8% below June. August was lower still, at US$ 5.74 per kg, or 6.3% below the peak and 3.5% below July. That level even sat under December 2025 (US$ 5.88). June's price remains the highest in the series, and there was no second attempt to beat it. Volume told a different story. In June, 19.3 thousand tonnes shipped, 16.6% less than in May. July brought 23.9 thousand tonnes and August 29.5 thousand. So the peak price coincided with the lowest volume of the period, and the volume recovery came at a lower price. In value terms, August totaled US$ 169.4 million against US$ 118.5 million in June, so more kilos outweighed the lower price.

What holds the price up or pulls it down

The data does not explain the cause, so it helps to separate what is observed from what is assumed. What is observed is a price that climbed in steps until June and then gave the gain back. What is assumed amounts to hypotheses, none confirmed by the underlying records. One is cattle supply in the United States, which may have left room for imported beef. Another is American demand for frozen beef used in processing. A third is shipment composition: a month with few expensive cuts and another with many shifts the average without changing the price of any single cut.

Read more

  • Brazilian frozen beef to Spain loses pace after a +268% jump

    Brazilian frozen beef to Spain loses pace after a +268% jump

  • Brazil's Frozen Beef Exports to Mexico Reset Lower in 2026

    Brazil's Frozen Beef Exports to Mexico Reset Lower in 2026

  • Brazilian beef to Russia settles on a new floor since November

    Brazilian beef to Russia settles on a new floor since November

An export average combines contracts signed weeks earlier with spot shipments. This matters because one month's price does not come only from that month's market. Part of June's record may reflect deals made in May, when the price was already firm. The category also covers cuts of very different values, and a small shift in their proportions changes the average. Without a breakdown by cut, no one can say a Brazilian packer sold the same product at a higher price in June, or a lower one in August.

What to watch from September

Watch whether the price returns to around US$ 6 or stays below US$ 5.90 per kg, together with shipped weight. The frozen beef export dashboard shows both sides of the series.

What this means for you
For exporters
  • quote American buyers with US$ 6.12 as the recent ceiling and US$ 5.74 as the latest reading, separating price from mix.
  • check currency hedging on year-end shipments; with a volatile real, the margin in local currency can surprise.

This analysis is written by the Kyrodata Editorial Team from official data. See our methodology →

The data behind this story

Explore the full series on Kyrodata

BR exportsSH4 0202 · Carnes de animais da espécie bovina, congeladas
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Sources

  • ·MDIC ComexStat — capítulo 0202 (2026)
  • ·Kyrodata — dashboard interativo SH4 0202 (2026)
  • ·IBGE — Estatística da Produção Pecuária (2026)
  • ·ABPA — Associação Brasileira de Proteína Animal (2026)

Topics

AgribusinessExportsRecord priceUnited States
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For importers
  • August's price is 6.3% below June's record; compare other origins before locking in volume.